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Latitudinal Variation in Species Interactions: A Test in the New England Rocky Intertidal Zone
Author(s): George H. Leonard
Source: Ecology, Vol. 81, No. 4 (Apr., 2000), pp. 1015-1030
Published by: Ecological Society of America
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/177175
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Ecology, 81(4), 2000, pp. 1015-1030
? 2000 by the Ecological Society of America




        LATITUDINAL VARIATION IN SPECIES INTERACTIONS:
       A TEST IN THE NEW ENGLAND ROCKY INTERTIDAL ZONE
                          GEORGE H. LEONARD'
     Brown University, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Providence, Rhode Island 02912 USA

         Abstract. How species interactions vary as a function of habitat characteristics con-
       tinues to be an important debate in ecology. Using the barnacle-seaweed assemblage com-
       mon in New England rocky intertidal habitats, I tested the hypothesis that species inter-
       actions switch from negative to positive at sites across the Cape Cod faunal barrier because
       of latitudinal variation in thermal stress and predation intensity between these regions. I
       manipulated Ascophyllum nodosum canopies in the high zone of two sites from each region
       and then determined the consequences for underlying Semibalanus balanoides recruits and
       adults for two years (January 1995 through January 1997). In both years, algal canopies
       reduced barnacle recruitment and growth rates at all sites but greatly increased survival
       rates only at the southern sites. When integrated in a demographic framework, these data
       showed that the reproductive fitness potential of individuals was facilitated by the algal
       canopy at southern sites but was reduced under similar conditions at northern sites. At
       southern sites, this was likely the result of buffering from physical stresses in the absence
       of predators. At northern sites, any buffering from physical stress was likely offset by an
       increase in mortality in the presence of predators. Interestingly, this variability in species
       interactions appeared to be associated with subtle variation in climate. Facilitation was
       evident only during 1995, the warmest year on record since 1900. In contrast, interactions
       were entirely negative during 1996, a slightly cooler year. These results suggest that species
       interactions in the intertidal zone may be sensitive to even subtle changes in climate.
       Interspecific buffering of neighbors from thermal stress is likely to be common in other
       systems and suggests that both aquatic and terrestrial vegetation may become increasingly
       important to local species persistence as climates change during the next century.
        Key words: Ascophyllum nodosum; direct vs. indirect effects; fitness consequences; habitat
       amelioration; interactions, positive and negative; latitude effects on species interactions; New England
       (USA) rocky intertidal zone; Nucella lapillus; predation; Semibalanus balanoides; thermal stress.


             INTRODUCTION            ness et al. [1981], Menge and Lubchenco [1981] for
  Pattern and process across biogeographic spatial     exceptions). This scarcity of experimental data is at
scales have been of interest to ecologists since the time  least partly due to the logistical difficulties of con-
of Darwin. Increases in diversity across latitudinal gra-  ducting manipulative experiments at large spatial
dients and between ocean basins are well known (Fi-     scales.
scher 1960, MacArthur 1965, 1972, Spight 1976, Wal-       Over the last twenty years, work within single bio-
lace 1878), although the ultimate mechanism for their    geographic regions has highlighted how abiotic con-
                               ditions can alter the relative importance of biological
origin and maintenance remains unclear (Rhode 1992,
Rosenzweig 1995). Biological processes have long       processes in governing community structure (Connell
been argued to vary across large spatial scales (Mac-    1961, Menge 1976, Menge and Sutherland 1987).
Arthur 1972, Vermeij 1978), and latitudinal variation    These results, largely from marine habitats, predict that
in predation, in particular, has been associated with    as physical stress increases, predation pressure decreas-
differences in morphology in many organisms (Mayr      es and intraspecific competition increases (i.e., the con-
                               sumer stress models of Menge and Olson [1990]). Work
1963, Bakus 1969, Vermeij and Veil 1978). Although
                               on vascular plants in terrestrial habitats has similarly
species interactions have been hypothesized to vary
biogeographically (e.g., Vermeij 1978, Dethier and      suggested that the role of competition varies with stress
Duggins 1988), experimental tests of these hypotheses    (Grime 1973, 1977, Tilman 1988) although there is
have been relatively rare (but see Jeanne [1979], Bert-   much controversy surrounding this assertion (Grime
                               1979, Weldon and Saulson 1986, Wilson and Keddy
  Manuscriptreceived 25 January1999 (originally submitted30 1986, Moloney 1990, Grace 1991, Goldberg and Barton
April 1998); revised 24 February 1999; accepted 25 February 1992). When physical stress becomes extreme, how-
1999.                            ever, competitive interactions may be replaced by fa-
  a Present address: Stanford University, Department of Bi-
                               cilitative interactions (Bertness and Callaway 1994) if
ological Sciences, Hopkins Marine Station, Oceanview Bou-
levard, Pacific Grove, California 93950-3094 USA.      the "competitor" modifies the physical habitat and al-
E-mail: gleonard@leland.stanford.edu             leviates the stressful conditions (e. g., Bertness and
                               1015
1016                     GEORGEH. LEONARD                 Ecology,Vol. 81, No. 4

Shumway 1993, Bertness and Hacker 1994). In these      which to investigate spatial and temporal variation in
cases, a species may have higher fitness when in as-     species interactions. Most intertidal organisms are
sociation with a "competitor" than when it is living     known to be sensitive to thermal and desiccation stress-
alone.                            es, which can vary at both small and large spatial scales
  While productive, this debate on the dichotomy be-    (Lewis 1964, Wethey 1983, 1984). Most importantly,
tween competition and facilitation ignores the fact that   these physical stresses can often be alleviated by the
species can influence each other in ways that do not     presence of other species. For example, intertidal algal
strictly involve limiting resources. One organism can    canopies often keep the substrate moist at low tide and
influence the recruitment, survival, growth, or repro-    can thus reduce the physiological stress of the organ-
duction of another and these effects can vary in both    isms underneath (Dayton 1971, Menge 1978, Under-
space and time. For example, subtidal algae can alter    wood and Denley 1984 and references therein). Be-
the recruitment and growth of benthic invertebrates by    cause of the large amount of work done in these com-
altering propagule delivery and food acquisition with-    munities (see Lewis 1964, Paine 1994, Little and Kitch-
out actually competing for resources (Duggins et al.     ing 1996), there is also an ecological context in which
1990, Eckman and Duggins 1991).               to place experimental work done at broader scales. Ex-
  The debate between competition and facilitation      perimental manipulations to understand how species
should be broadened further to address the many pos-     interactions vary at larger scales may also be a pow-
itive and negative ways in which organisms influence     erful way to predict how species and communities will
each other's fitness. This is critical because the overall  respond to global climate change in the future.
effect of one species on another may be positive, neg-     In this study, I hypothesized that interactions be-
ative, or neutral depending on the magnitude and di-     tween a large, canopy-forming intertidal alga (Asco-
rection of the individual effects (e. g., Underwood     phyllum nodosum) and a sessile, filter-feeding inver-
1986). Demography offers an excellent framework in      tebrate (Semibalanus balanoides) should vary at lati-
which to address these types of multiple effects       tudinal spatial scales in New England, USA, because
(McPeek and Peckarsky 1998). Simultaneous variation     of predictable differences in environmental stress (tem-
in recruitment, survival, and fecundity as a function of   perature) and predation by the carnivorous whelk, Nu-
the presence or absence of a species can be entered     cella lapillus. Seasonal temperature fluctuations in New
into a standard life table and the net effect evaluated   England are some of the largest in the world (Menge
as the product of these individual effects. Many of the   1976) with summer air temperatures greater than in
previous studies of facilitation, however, have focused   either Great Britain or the west coast of North America
only on survival (e. g., see review by Callaway [1995])   (Barnes 1958a). In addition, subtle but important dif-
and few have considered these multiple effects. This     ferences in summer air temperature have been hypoth-
is especially true of interactions that vary as a function  esized to influence the distribution of, and interactions
of life-history stage. To more fully understand the role   among, intertidal organisms between sites to the north
of positive and negative interactions in natural com-    and south of the Cape Cod peninsula in Massachusetts
munities requires a focus on these types of multiple,    (Barnes and Barnes 1959, Wethey 1983). Observations
interactive effects (Greenlee and Callaway 1996, Cal-    I made in 1994 at exposed intertidal habitats in Rhode
laway and Walker 1997).                   Island (south of Cape Cod) indicated that the upper
  The debate must also move beyond documenting the     distribution of the Semibalanus zone was generally co-
direct effect of one species on another and begin to     incident with the top of the Ascophyllum zone but that
incorporate indirect effects. Although there are excep-   at similar sites in Maine (north of Cape Cod) it ex-
tions, many of the previous studies have focused on     tended beyond it (see Methods: Study sites and zona-
pairwise interactions (e. g., Bertness and Shumway      tion patterns, below). The southern pattern is atypical
1993). This has unintentionally disregarded the large    of most intertidal habitats where barnacles generally
number of species that comprise most biological com-     persist above the algal zone in all but the most protected
munities and the numerous indirect interactions (both    habitats (Stephenson and Stephenson 1948, Carefoot
positive and negative) that occur among them. Inter-     1977, Menge 1978, Ricketts et al. 1985; personal ob-
action modifications, where the non-trophic effects of    servations). This observation is consistent with a re-
one species alters the interaction between two other     duction in mortality from thermal stress north but not
species, may be common and important indirect inter-     south of Cape Cod.
actions in many communities (Wootton 1993). It is        Cape Cod is also a well-known faunal break (Gould
clear that a synthetic approach, which focuses on how     1840, cited in Allee 1923) that separates the Atlantic
spatial and temporal variability in the environment in-   Boreal fauna to the north from the Atlantic Temperate
fluences both direct and indirect interactions, will help  fauna to the south (Gosner 1978). Nucella lapillus is
ecologists better understand how species interactions    the primary predator of barnacles in New England and
vary in natural habitats (Callaway and Walker 1997,     also has a largely boreal distribution (Gosner 1978).
McPeek and Peckarsky 1998).                 These biogeographic patterns and the experimental
  The marine intertidal may be an ideal system in      findings of Menge (1976) in northern New England
April 2000              VARIATIONIN SPECIESINTERACTIONS                       1017


suggest that predation pressure may be reduced south
of Cape Cod. In addition, by harboring whelks and
increasing their foraging efficiency (Menge 1978), the
algal canopy indirectly increases barnacle mortality at
those sites where whelks are present. This suggests that
the direct positive effects of the algal canopy on bar-
nacle survival (by alleviating temperature stress) may
be critical to the maintenance of barnacle populations
south of the Cape but that the negative, indirect effects
of the canopy on predators (an interaction modification
sensu Wootton 1993) may overwhelm any direct pos-
itive effects at northern sites.
  To test these ideas, I experimentally manipulated al-
gal canopies at northern and southern sites and eval-
uated the consequences for both barnacles and their
predators. I quantified canopy effects at different bar-
nacle life-history stages and then integrated these com-
ponent effects in a demographic framework. I hypoth-
esized that the algal canopy would decrease fecundity
at all sites but that it would increase survival only at
the southern sites. If the positive effects of the canopy
were stronger than its negative effects, the association
would result in higher fitness (defined as the product     FIG. 1. Map of New England(USA) showing the open-
of survival and fecundity) at the southern sites. I also   coast study sites in Rhode Island (RI) and Maine. Cape Cod
took advantage of the differences in climatic conditions   is a well-recognizedfaunalbarrier betweenthesetwo regions.
in 1995 and 1996 to determine whether this interaction
was associated with year-to-year variation in climate.
                               mean lower-low water (MLLW). Because the tidal
            METHODS               range differs between Rhode Island and Maine (1.4 m
                               vs. 3.5 m above MLLW, respectively), elevations were
       Study sites and zonation patterns
                               expressed as the percentage of time that zones were
  Two sites in Rhode Island and two in Maine (New      exposed to aerial conditions within each region. Tidal
England, USA) were chosen to test this hypothesis (Fig.   height data were obtained from TideGuide version 1.30
1). All sites were semi-exposed, intertidal habitats con-  (Zihua Software, Pacific Grove, California, USA). The
sisting of gently sloping granite benches interspersed    tops of the Ascophyllum nodosum and Semibalanus bal-
with large granitic boulders. Each site was oriented     anoides zones were quantified by sampling 10 eleva-
approximately south-south east. Sites were protected     tions per zone across approximately 20-40 m of each
from the largest ocean swells by either small offshore    study site. Differences in exposure time of each zone
islands or large seaward rock benches. The two south-    between northern and southern sites were analyzed us-
ern sites, Sakonnet Point (41?27'14" N, 71?11'35" W)     ing nested ANOVA with site nested within region.
and Middletown (41?28'31" N, 71014'30" W), were lo-
cated on the eastern and western sides, respectively, of     Barnacle demographics and variable species
                                        interactions
Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island. The two northern
sites, Chamberlain  (43?53'7" N, 69?28'29" W) and Pe-     Positive and negative interactions between the algal
maquid (43?50'8" N, 69?30'29" W), were located along     canopy and understory barnacles were examined at
the eastern shore of Pemaquid Neck. Although exper-     these four sites for two years, from January 1995
iments in Maine were not conducted exactly where oth-    through January 1997. In November 1994 I created
ers have worked (e. g., Menge 1976, 1978), these sites    circular clearings in the Ascophyllum canopy (radius
have been the subject of considerable past research.     -1.0 m) at its upper border in the high zone of all sites
 Observations made during May-September 1994        (n = 8 clearing/site). Canopy plots (n = 8 plots/site)
suggested that the acorn barnacle, Semibalanus bal-     were unmanipulated areas that, at low tide, had a 100%
anoides, extended above the Ascophyllum nodosum       cover of A. nodosum. The absolute tidal height of all
zone at northern sites, but at southern sites it was pres-  plots was set to keep the percentage of time exposed
ent only under the algal canopy. To determine if this    to aerial conditions (-60%) constant between regions.
was due to a vertical extension of the barnacle zone     Within each canopy and cleared plot, I set up two per-
rather than a contraction of the algal zone, distribution  manent quadrats (25 X 25 cm) on the rock substrate
patterns were quantified at all sites using standard sur-  marked at their corners with galvanized bolts. Quadrats
veying equipment and then standardizing elevations to    were nestled between the A. nodosum holdfasts (in can-
1018                     GEORGE H. LEONARD                 Ecology, Vol. 81, No. 4


opy plots) and initially had an intermediate cover      kept on ice in the field, and then frozen at -10?C in
(-50%) of barnacles.                     the laboratory. Within 4 mo barnacles were thawed in
  Each spring one of the two quadrats in each plot was   seawater and then each individual was dissected into
scraped to bare rock with a putty knife (without dis-    shell, somatic, and reproductive (i.e., larvae) tissue.
turbing A. nodosum holdfasts or canopy cover) and      Tissue components were dried at 35?C for 24 h before
used to evaluate the effect of the canopy on barnacle    weighing on a microbalance (precision = +0.01 mg).
recruitment, survival, growth, and fecundity. Because
adult barnacles may generally be less susceptible to               Statistical analysis
physical stress than new recruits (Foster 1969, 1971),     Differences in recruit and adult barnacle survival as
I used the unmanipulated quadrat to evaluate the in-     a function of the canopy, region, and site were tested
fluence of the canopy on the "adult" population (de-     using nested analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) on sur-
fined as all individuals >1 yr old, sensu Wethey 1984).   viving barnacle density in October. Site was considered
In addition, scraped quadrats (n = 8 quadrats/site) were   a random factor (nested within region) and canopy and
established in the zone directly above the Ascophyllum    region were considered fixed factors. Density the pre-
canopy at all sites to evaluate regional differences in   vious spring was the covariate. Because space is often
barnacle recruitment, survival, growth, and reproduc-    the limiting resource for barnacles, mortality is fre-
tion above the zone influenced by the algal canopy.     quently density dependent (i.e., greater mortality on
  In 1996 I incorporated a predation treatment to at-    high densities than low densities of recruits; Connell
tempt to partition the mortality of barnacle recruits into  1985). ANCOVA statistically factors out any density-
the direct effect of the algal canopy on reduced thermal   dependent effects on survival by removing the influ-
stress and the indirect effect of the canopy on predation  ence of initial density on final density. This approach,
intensity (Menge 1978). At all sites I attached 20 X     however, has two assumptions that were verified before
20 X 5 cm galvanized wire mesh cages and cage con-      the analysis proceeded (Underwood 1997). First, the
trols to cleared quadrats in all canopy and cleared plots.  relationship between the dependent variable and the
Unfortunately, this treatment was unsuccessful at ma-    covariate must not vary among treatments (homoge-
nipulating predator abundance (unpublished data) be-     neity of slopes). Second, the range of the covariate must
cause cages were frequently damaged by waves and       be broadly similar among treatments.
corrosion of the wire mesh often compromised the tight     Differences in the demographic parameters of bar-
fit of the cages to the substrate. Accordingly, I analyzed  nacle recruits and adults as a function of the algal can-
only the results from the uncaged quadrats. Densities    opy, region, and site were analyzed with nested analysis
of whelks were measured three times during each sum-     of variance for both 1995 and 1996. As before, site
mer at all sites in these uncaged quadrats and average    was considered a random, nested factor. Differences in
predator abundance was analyzed using analysis of var-    growth were evaluated using total soft tissue (somatic
iance. Differences in predator abundance were related    + reproductive tissue) as the dependent variable. Sim-
qualitatively to patterns of barnacle mortality among    ilar analyses were performed on fecundity (total larval
regions and years.                      mass) and reproductive fitness potential. Reproductive
  At the end of the settlement season (Rhode Island     fitness potential was defined in the demographic sense
  end of March, Maine = beginning of May), barnacle    as "l,mx" (an individual's probability of survival mul-
recruitment was measured in the field in the cleared     tiplied by its reproductive output). Because of the broad
quadrats using sampling grids. Barnacles that survived    dispersal capability and open population structure of
through the summer were sampled using similar tech-     Semibalanus, I could evaluate neither the complete life
niques in late October in both 1995 and 1996. Change     table for this species (but see Eckman [1996] for a
in density of the "adults" was determined from pho-     conceptual and empirical approach) nor the contribu-
tographs of the unmanipulated quadrats at the begin-     tion of individual effects to population growth rate (i.e.,
ning (March 1995), middle (August 1995), and end       a sensitivity analysis of X; McPeek and Peckarsky
(October 1996) of the experiment.              1998).
  In both years, growth and reproductive output of       In addition, there were often large differences in
recruits and adults were quantified from three individ-   these parameters among sites (see Table 1). These dif-
uals haphazardly selected from each of the cleared and    ferences could have been due to a number of uncon-
unmanipulated quadrats (total sample size: recruits =    trolled factors including (1) differences in larval supply
72 individuals per site per year, adults = 48 individuals  (Raimondi 1990), (2) phytoplankton composition
per site per year). In New England, barnacles reproduce   (Barnes and Barnes 1959), (3) increased egg size at
in early fall, fertilized eggs mature over the winter, and  northern sites (Crisp 1959), (4) temperature-dependent
larvae are released only once a year in early spring     or flow-mediated plasticity in growth rates (Southward
(Barnes 1958b). Individuals were sampled in mid-win-     1955, Sanford et al. 1994), or (5) genetic differentiation
ter (December-January) after larvae had fully matured    among sites or regions (Crisp 1964). My primary in-
but before they had been released. Barnacles were care-   terest was not in the absolute magnitude of these pa-
fully removed from the rock using surgical scalpels,     rameters but rather in their variation with the algal
April 2000              VARIATIONIN SPECIESINTERACTIONS                       1019


canopy between regions. I therefore standardized the     canopy treatment per site). In 1996, sample size was
data for differences among sites before statistical anal-  increased to 8 thermometers/site but temperatures were
ysis by converting each datum to reflect its deviation    collected only in cleared plots. This design increased
(either larger or smaller) from its site mean. Analyses   the power of detecting differences in thermal charac-
were then performed on these deviations (In (x + 1)     teristics among sites. Both wave exposure and thermal
transformed to meet the assumption of normality and     data were analyzed using repeated-measures, nested
variance heteroscedascity). Positive or negative species   analysis of variance with region, site and time as fac-
interactions were defined from the direction of a sta-    tors. As before, site was considered a random factor
tistically significant "canopy" effect in the analysis of  and was nested within region.
variance. In addition, regional differences in the mag-     I used weather-station data to supplement these di-
nitude and direction of these species interactions were   rect measures of temperature. Overall differences in
identified by a significant "canopy X region" effect in   climatic conditions between Maine and Rhode Island
the same analyses. Because this was a nested design,     were quantified using data acquired from the Northeast
the error term for the F ratio for both canopy and can-   Regional Climate Center. Maximum daily air temper-
opy X region effects was the canopy X site (region)     ature had been recorded for 1995 and 1996 at land-
term.                            based sites in Newport, Rhode Island (41?30' N, 71?21'
                               W), and Boothbay, Maine (43?52' N, 69?35' W), both
         Abiotic conditions             in close proximity to the respective study sites. Daily
  Physical factors were recorded during the two years   differences in temperature from April to September be-
of the study to relate the biotic results to spatial and   tween regions and years were used to quantify spatial
temporal variation in abiotic conditions. I tested for    and temporal differences in climatic conditions. Pat-
variation in wave exposure among sites because bar-     terns in thermal regime, wave exposure, and predator
nacle mortality is known to be reduced at sites of high   abundance were compared qualitatively to the exper-
wave splash (Lewis 1964). This was done by quanti-      imental results on variation in species interactions.
fying wave exposure at all sites approximately monthly
from December 1995 through August 1996 using                    RESULTS
spring-loaded dynamometers (Denny 1983, Bell and                Zonation patterns
Denny 1994). These instruments measure the maximum
force imposed by breaking waves over the sampling        The upper limit of the Ascophyllum canopy on the
interval. Unfortunately, these instruments do not mea-    shore was similar between study sites in Maine and
sure the average conditions that exist at a site and it is  Rhode Island (Fig. 2; F1,2 = 0.90, P = 0.442) but the
these average conditions that may be most important     upper limit of the barnacle zone differed between re-
to organisms that suffer daily emersion. Estimating     gions (F, 2 = 19.85, P = 0.047). At southern sites, the
wave exposure by eye, however, can be misleading (see    upper limit of barnacle zone was coincident with the
Bell and Denny 1994) and dynamometers, although not     upper limit of the algal canopy, but at northern sites it
flawless, are probably the best technique currently     extended beyond the algal canopy (Fig. 2, daily emer-
available to estimate wave splash.              sion = 62% vs. 75%, respectively).
  Dynamometers (n = 5 instruments/site) were bolted      Variable species interactions: barnacle recruits
to the rock in the center of circular plots (1-m radius)
cleared of macroalgae in the same area as the canopy      The algal canopy strongly influenced barnacle re-
manipulations. Measurements of spring extension (in     cruitment, survival, growth, and fecundity during the
millimeters) were converted to maximum force (in       two years of this study and this had large effects on
newtons) using the equations in Bell and Denny (1994).    their reproductive fitness potential. Recruitment at the
By late May 1996, dynamometers at the Pemaquid site     four study sites ranged from 4.06-24.41 individuals/
were being continuously vandalized because of heavy     cm2 in 1995 and 1996 (Table 1). The canopy decreased
foot traffic. I therefore removed the wave meters from    barnacle recruitment at all sites largely because of me-
this site and no data were collected there throughout    chanical abrasion of the substrate (i.e., "algal whip-
the rest of the summer.                   lash"; Dayton 1971, Menge 1976, Leonard 1999a) and
  To test the hypothesis that regional variation in spe-  this effect did not vary between regions (Leonard
cies interactions was associated with differences in     1999b).
thermal stress, I quantified the overall thermal regime     In contrast, in both 1995 and 1996 the effect of the
at all sites during the summers of 1995 and 1996. In     canopy on survival of barnacle recruits varied signif-
1995, maximum rock-surface temperatures were col-      icantly between regions (Table 2). The canopy in-
lected approximately every 2 wk from June through      creased survival at the southern sites but not at the
October using min/max thermometers (Taylor Scien-      northern sites (Fig. 3). At the southern sites, survival
tific, model number 5458). Thermometers were placed     was always highest under the canopy, intermediate
under the Ascophyllum canopy and in cleared plots in     where the canopy had been removed, and lowest above
the high zone of all sites (n = 2 thermometers per      the algal zone (Fig. 3). At northern sites, survival was
1020                        GEORGE H. LEONARD                     Ecology, Vol. 81, No. 4

TABLE 1. Recruitment, survival, growth, and fecundity of Semibalanus balanoides recruits and adults during 1995 and 1996
 at four rocky intertidal sites in New England.

                                 Recruitment:                 Survival?
Stage       Year       Sitet         (no./cm2)        n            (%)         n
Recruits       1995    Sakonnet, RI       14.38  +  2.01     22         6.3  + 2.3        22
                Middleton, RI       14.77  +  2.60     24         9.0  + 3.3        22
                Chamberlain, ME      9.36  +  1.03     23        30.6  + 3.0        23
                Pemaquid, ME        6.22  +  0.96     24        14.1  ? 3.5        22
           1996    Sakonnet, RI       24.41  +  2.12     24        10.3  + 2.4        24
                Middleton, RI       17.36  +  1.95     24        12.6  + 6.2        24
                Chamberlain, ME      7.65  +  1.05     24        46.1  + 6.0        24
                Pemaquid, ME        4.06  +  0.77     24        38.0  + 6.4        21
Adults        1995    Sakonnet, RI           NA        NA       -60.01   + 28.05       14
                Middleton, RI          NA        NA       -57.00   + 26.52       16
                Chamberlain, ME         NA        NA       -45.91   + 20.72       15
                Pemaquid, ME           NA        NA        12.15  + 6.27       16
           1996    Sakonnet, RI           NA        NA        66.90  + 15.56       16
                Middleton, RI          NA        NA        18.50  ? 21.05       16
                Chamberlain, ME         NA        NA        3.90  + 17.41       15
                Pemaquid, ME           NA        NA        33.92  + 18.36       15
 Notes: For each parameter, both the site means + 1 SE and the sample size (n) are given. These site means were used to
generate the proportional deviations used in the ANOVAs to test for variable species interactions between regions (see
Methods: Statistical analysis for further clarification). Reproductive fitness potential (survival X fecundity) was also calculated
from these data.
 t RI = Rhode Island, USA; ME = Maine, USA.
 :. Recruitment was not applicable (NA) for adult barnacles because recruitment refers only to input from the planktonic
larval pool.
 ? For adult barnacles, "survival" refers to the net change in adults (measured as no./100 cm2) between time periods. This
overall measure is the sum of an increase due to recruits that survive beyond the first year (and hence, become reclassified
as adults) and a decrease due to mortality of established adults.



generally similar under the canopy and in cleared plots        cleared plots at southern sites (Fig. 3) could not there-
but was always highest above the algal zone (Fig. 3).         fore be attributed to predation in these treatments.
Most importantly, the strength of the positive effects          While the canopy had regionally variable effects on
of the canopy at southern sites varied among years (Fig.       recruit survival, it had universally negative effects on
3: compare 1995 to 1996 for southern sites). In 1995         growth and reproduction. The canopy inhibited recruit
at southern sites there was very low survival in cleared       growth in both 1995 and 1996 (Fig. 5; 1995, F,2
plots (in fact, 1 SE of the mean overlaps 0 individuals/       20.23,  P = 0.046;   1996, F,2 = 249.20,     P = 0.004),
cm2) and 100% mortality above the algal zone. How-          but this effect did not vary between regions in either
ever, recruit mortality at the southern sites in 1996 was       year (1995, Fl,2  =  2.06, P = 0.287;   1996, F1,2 = 0.04,
less severe, as evidenced by the considerable survival        P = 0.855). Similarly, the canopy decreased recruit
in the cleared plots and especially that above the algal       fecundity in both years (Fig. 5; 1995, F ,2 = 31.42, P
zone.                                 = 0.030; 1996, Fl,2 = 30.22, P = 0.032) and this did
  Although the exclusion cages did not effectively con-       not vary between regions (1995, F,2 = 2.36, P = 0.264;
trol predator densities (see Methods: Barnacle demo-         1996, F1,2 = 0.03, P = 0.873).
graphics  ...,   above),  barnacle mortality  patterns in      When integrated, these data indicate that the net ef-
uncaged quadrats at northern sites were related to dif-        fect of the algal canopy on recruit reproductive fitness
ferences in predator densities in cleared, canopy, and        potential varied between northern and southern sites
above-canopy plots. During both years, Nucella lapil-         and between years. In 1995 the canopy increased re-
lus at northern sites were in greatest abundance under        productive fitness potential at southern sites but de-
the algal canopy, intermediate in cleared plots and ab-        creased it at northern sites (Fig. 5, F,]2 = 4.17, P
sent above the algal canopy (Fig. 4; 1995, F,27 = 17.88,       0.046). In 1996 the canopy decreased reproductive fit-
P < 0.001;    1996, F,28 = 4.551, P = 0.038).   The low     ness potential at all sites (Fig. 5, F,2 = 7.69, P = 0.008)
recruit survival in canopy and cleared plots was as-         and this effect did not vary between regions (F1,2
sociated with the presence of predators while the high        0.04, P 0.868).
survival above the algal canopy was associated with           Above the algal canopy, recruit growth, fecundity,
the absence of predators (compare Figs. 3 and 4). In         and reproductive fitness potential were generally great-
contrast, although N. lapillus were present at the south-       er at northern sites than at southern sites (Fig. 5) al-
ern sites (unpublished data) they were never observed         though these relationships were clouded by high var-
in the high zone during the two years when this ex-          iability at southern sites. In 1995 no recruits survived
periment was done (Fig. 4). Lower survival in the           in this zone at southern sites and fitness was therefore
April 2000                  VARIATION IN SPECIES INTERACTIONS                        1021

TABLE 1. Extended.
                                                H  A. nodosum

       Growth              Fecundity
                                                L]S. balanoides
                                        80
   (mg/ind.)      n      (mg/ind.)       n
  0.73 + 0.12     15      0.16 + 0.09       15         60
                                        6
  0.60 + 0.07     14      0.09 + 0.04       14      o
  3.13 + 0.49     24      1.54 + 0.33       24
  2.54 + 0.45     22      1.21 + 0.23       22      |S 40
  1.22 + 0.13     23      0.10 + 0.04       23
  0.99 + 0.14     20      0.06 + 0.05       20         20
  2.23 + 0.37     24      1.17 + 0.22       24
  1.70 + 0.24     22      0.74 + 0.13       22
  1.58 + 0.16     16      0.75 + 0.10       16          0
                                         O
  1.62 + 0.16     15      0.94 + 0.13       15            Sak.  Midd.    Cham. Pem.
  6.69 + 1.05     15      3.86 ? 0.80       15
  2.86 ? 0.62     13      1.59 + 0.41       13
  2.57 + 0.37     16      1.20 + 0.26       16             South           North
  2.28 + 0.40     14      1.19 + 0.31       14    FIG. 2. Zonation patterns at replicate study sites north
  1.05 + 0.31     16      0.54 + 0.20       16   and south of Cape Cod. Data are the percentages of days
  2.86 + 0.62     13      1.59 + 0.41       13
                                  (mean ? 1 SE) that the top of the Ascophyllum nodosum and
                                  Semibalanus balanoides zones are exposed to aerial condi-
                                  tions at each site. Sak. = Sakonnet Point, Rhode Island; Midd.
                                  = Middleton, Rhode Island; Cham. = Chamberlain, Maine;
zero. In 1996 neither recruit growth, fecundity, nor        and Pem. = Pemaquid Lighthouse, Maine.
fitness were significantly different between northern
and southern sites above the algal canopy (all F, 2 <
7.39, P > 0.113). This was largely due to the high         was statistically insignificant (Table 3). This was due
variability in fecundity and reproductive fitness poten-      to the high variation in canopy effects among sites
tial at southern sites but not at northern sites (Fig. 5).     within regions (Table 3). This year-to-year variation in
                                  canopy effects on adult survival at southern sites was
  Variable species   interactions:  adult barnacles
                                  analogous to that seen for barnacle recruits.
  The strength of negative and positive interactions         As with the recruits, adult growth and fecundity were
between the canopy and the underlying adult barnacles       reduced in the presence of the canopy during both years
also differed between regions and years. During 1995,       (Fig. 7; Growth: 1995, F1,2 = 36.69, P = 0.024; 1996,
                                                             =
survival was elevated under the canopy at southern         Fl,2 = 102.59, P = 0.010; Fecundity: 1995, F,2
sites but reduced by the canopy at northern sites (Fig.      35.08, P  = 0.027; 1996,     = 177.68, P = 0.006).
                                                F,2
6, Table 3). The overall pattern of survival in 1996 was      Similarly, these effects did not vary between region
similar to that in 1995 (Fig. 6) but its magnitude was       (Growth: 1995, F,2 = 4.69, P = 0.156; 1996, F,2 =
lower and the resulting canopy X region interaction        6.77, P = 0.122; Fecundity: 1995, F,2 = 8.02, P =


TABLE2. Survival of barnacle recruits as a function of region and site during 1995 and 1996, analyzed using nested analysis
of covariance.

  Source of variation          df         MS         F      Denominator MSt       P
1995
Region                  1         3.51        0.42         a         0.583
Site(Region)               2         8.32       14.02         b        <0.001
Canopy                  1        14.22       38.61         c         0.025
Canopy X Region             1        18.47       50.15         c         0.019
Canopy X Site(Region)          2         0.37        0.62         b         0.542
Recruit density             1         3.49        5.88         b         0.019
Residual                52         0.59
1996
Region                  1        0.22       1.20          a         0.338
Site(Region)               2        0.18       1.12          b         0.336
Canopy                  1        1.27      102.25          c         0.010
Canopy X Region             1        4.02      324.16          c         0.003
Canopy X Site(Region)          2        0.01       0.08          b         0.928
Recruit density             1        2.02      12.18          b         0.001
Residual                55        0.17
 Notes: Recruit density [ln(x + 1)-transformed] was the covariate, and final density [ln(n + 1)-transformed] was the dependent
variable. The statistical assumption of homogeneity of slopes was satisfied in both years: 1995, F,45 = 1.81, P = 0.109;
1996, F748 = 1.06, P = 0.406. In addition, the range of the covariate was broadly similar among the study sites.
 t Denominator MS for the F ratios are: a = Site(Region), b = Residual, c = Canopy X Site(Region).
1022                           GEORGE H. LEONARD                    Ecology, Vol. 81, No. 4


                *                                     *  Canopy
                 - Canopy
                  Cleared                                I_ Cleared
                mi Above Canopy                              Ei Above
                                                       Canopy
       3
                                                1995               199
                                       2.0-
       2                                1.5-
                                                   4-
       I
       1
    E                                   0.5-
                                                       NA  .
    0
    o   O                                0.0-

           1996                          2.5-
    A
       4
                                       2.0-
                                                                 I
       3-                               is-
                                    C)  1.0-
       2-                             a' 0.5-
       1-                              0.0-                         NA
                                                                 ~      1
       0-                                  q-
               North        South
                                  QB       2-
                                         2-
 FIG. 3. Survival of barnacles that recruited during the     io
spring of each study year at the end of October in 1995 and    0  "
1996 in 25 X 25 cm2 quadrats located under the canopy, in
areas cleared of the canopy or above the zone influenced by
                                         1-
                                            'J l I              -      rll F
                                                                     f
the canopy. Data are adjusted densities (mean ? 1 SE) from            0-
the analysis of covariance using recruitment density as the              North    South        North     South
covariate and final density as the dependent variable. See
Table 2 for statistical analyses.                  FIG. 5. Demographic parameters of barnacle recruits dur-
                                  ing 1995 and 1996. Parameters measured were growth, fe-
                                  cundity, and reproductive fitness potential (survival X fe-
                                  cundity). Values are the deviation (mean + 1 SE) of each pa-
                                  rameter from its site mean. NA indicates that no individuals
           3.6-        1995           survived and that growth and fecundity could therefore not
                                  be measured.

           2.4-
                                  0.105) except in 1996 when fecundity was reduced
                                  more under the canopy in northern sites than in south-
           1.2-                     ern sites (Fl,2 = 31.05, P = 0.031).
      trn                            Like those for recruits, these data for adults show
                   0   0  0
                         O
      S o.o                         that canopy effects on adult reproductive fitness varied
      o0.0
      6         North       South       between regions and between years. In 1995 adult re-
       0
                     1996           productive fitness potential was facilitated by the can-
         .  3.6                     opy at southern sites but was reduced by the canopy
                   *   Canopy         at northern sites (Fig. 7, F ,2 = 23.15, P = 0.041). In
      a 2.4              Cleared        1996 the canopy had a consistently negative effect on
                   [-
                      Above Canopy      reproductive fitness potential at both northern and
                   ;              southern sites (Fig. 7, F,     2  =  24.87, P = 0.038). These
           1.2                     results for adults were strikingly similar to those ob-
                                  tained for barnacle recruits.
                   0   0  O0
           0.0
               North       South                     Abiotic conditions
  FIG.4. Predator densities as a function of region and treat-   Measurements of physical factors suggested that
ment during 1995 and 1996. Predators (Nucella lapillus) were    thermal regime but not wave exposure differed between
sampled in the permanent quadrats three times during each     Maine and Rhode Island. There was no evidence that
summer. Densities were averaged over the summer. Values      northern and southern sites were of different wave ex-
in the figures are means ? 1 SE. Although present in the low
zone (data not shown), N. lapillus were never found in the     posure (Fig. 8) as maximum wave force did not vary
high zone at southern sites or above the canopy at northern    between regions from December 1995 through May
and southernsites.                         1996 (Table 4). From May through September there
April 2000               VARIATIONIN SPECIESINTERACTIONS                            1023


                                             *   Canopy
                                             D-  Cleared

 FIG.6. Survivalof adultbarnacles(non-re-           1995
                          E   80-
cruits)during1995 and 1996. Valuesarethe net
change (mean + 1 SE) in the numberof adults/
100 cm2 from November 1994 to November
1995 (1995) and from November 1995 to No-      0   0-
vember 1996 (1996). See Table 3 for statistical
analyses.

                          V -160
                          Z       North     South            North    South


was also no overall difference among regions in max-       Like 1995, temperatures also varied significantly be-
imum wave force, but exposure did vary among regions       tween regions over time (Table 5). In early summer
over time during this latter half of the summer (Fig. 8,     there was little difference in rock temperature between
Table 4). When tropical storm Daniel impacted New         regions, but by the end of July temperatures at southern
England in July 1996, there were large waves at Cham-       sites were consistently several degrees higher than
berlain (and likely Pemaquid, although not measured        those at sites in Maine (Fig. 9).
there) but not at Middletown or Sakonnet (personal          Land-based weather-station data corroborated these
observation). Other than this single time period, wave      direct measures of temperature and indicated that
exposure differed very little between any of the study      Rhode Island was, on average, several degrees warmer
sites.                              than Maine (Fig. 10). This was true in 1995 and 1996
  In contrast, there were subtle but potentially biolog-     although the magnitude of this difference was smaller
ically important differences in thermal regime between      in 1996 (i.e., 1.69? vs. 2.40?C, Table 6). These data
northern and southern sites (Fig. 9). This was evi-        also revealed that 1995 was a warmer summer overall,
denced by both rock surface temperatures (Fig. 9) and       especially in Rhode Island (Fig. 10). This finding is in
weather station data (Fig. 10). In summer 1995, overall      agreement with other meteorological records that show
rock-surface temperatures did not differ between re-       1995 was the hottest summer on record since 1900
gions but did vary between regions over time (Table        (Easterling et al. 1997).
5). The algal canopy reduced rock surface temperatures
                                               DISCUSSION
by -6.6?C at both northern and southern sites (Fig. 9,
Table 5). Contrary to expectations, however, temper-         My results contribute to the continuing debate on the
atures in the open plots of the northern sites in early      influence of site "quality" on species interactions and
summer were higher than those of the southern sites        suggest that the intensity and direction of interactions
(Fig. 9). By the beginning of August this pattern had       can change with physical stress and predation intensity
reversed and southern sites were slightly but consis-       at large spatial scales. In this study, subtle differences
tently warmer than northern sites until October.         in temperature north and south of Cape Cod and re-
  In summer 1996, rock temperatures were nearly sig-       gional differences in predator abundance were asso-
nificantly different between regions (i. e., P = 0.094;      ciated with differences in negative vs. positive inter-
Table 4). Overall, rock temperatures at southern sites      actions between the algal canopy and the underlying
were 1.5?C warmer than at the northern sites (Fig. 9).      barnacles. In addition, year-to-year variation in the net


TABLE 3.   Results of nested ANOVAs on adult barnacle survival (measured as yearly changes in adult barnacle density (no./
 100 cm2) during 1995 and 1996.

                             1995                        1996
                               Denom-                       Denom-
Source of variation     df    MS      F    inator MS    P        MS     F   inator MS   P
Region           1   24 644.8    1.73      a    0.320     7517.3 0.57        a   0.528
Site(Region)        2   14 284.7    3.96      b    0.025     13 110.3 2.99        b   0.059
Canopy           1   49 104.5    11.69      c    0.076     4290.1 0.28        c   0.650
Canopy x Region       1   165 730.5    39.45      c    0.024     26 164.3 1.71        c   0.322
Canopy x Site(Region)    2    4200.7    1.16      b    0.320     15 340.4  3.50      b   0.037
Residual         54    3611.9                     4386.9
 Notes: Analysis of covariancewas not used (as in Table 2) because the covariate(initial adult density) was not broadly
similar among the study sites. The denominator for the F ratios were: a = Site(Region), b = Residual, c = Canopy X
                       MS
Site(Region).
1024                           GEORGEH. LEONARD                     Ecology, Vol. 81, No. 4


                 * Canopy                  120-
                                                    -0-    South
                 [7 Cleared
                                   Z                 --  North
     2.0-      1995            1996
                                       80-
                                   0

   -  1.5-
          +      -t-         --     ?-    B
   o 1.0-
                                       40-
     0.5-                            ed
                                   cX


      0-
        i      I                a
                                               I  I   I  I    I  I    I  I    I

     2.0-                 -  1I               Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
   4 1.5-                                             1996

   =  1.0-
          -+
                -                    FIG. 8. Wave exposure at northern and southern sites col-
   0                                lected from December 1995 through October 1996 using
   L; 0.5-                             spring-loaded dynamometers. Data are maximum force
              I                    (means ? 1 SE) estimated from spring displacement measured
      0-                            at approximately monthly intervals.
   -  2.0-               -    I
;    1.5-                       cundity) were largely consistent with work done in in-
                             tertidal systems in the past. The canopy inhibited bar-
    1.0-
                             nacle recruitment at all study sites in both years via
 '
   0.5-                        mechanical "whiplashing" of the substrate (Leonard
                 -j    ----r_B-_   1999a). This effect has often been found on wave-
                   North    South  beaten shores (Dayton 1971, Menge 1976, Grant 1977,
  FIG. 7. Demographic parameters fo r adultbarnaclesdur- Hawkins 1983) and appears to be a common feature of
ing 1995 and 1996. Data and presenta tion are analogousto large, canopy-forming algal assemblages.
those in Fig. 5.                       Similarly, barnacle growth and fecundity were sig-
                             nificantly lower under algal canopies than in cleared
                             plots. This common observation (Lewis 1964, Wethey
effect of the algal canopy on reprc )ductive fitness po- 1985) was similar at both northern and southern sites
tential occurred because of variati{ in barnacle sur- and did not vary between years. Interestingly, growth
                   on
vival rather than reproductive oultput. These results rates (and fecundity) were not enhanced under algal
suggest that the local persistence { species in some canopies compared to open plots at southern sites,
                   of
intertidal habitats may be dependemnt the presence where higher temperatures were hypothesized to im-
                    on
of other species that can modify the increasingly severe pose severe physiological stress on metabolic and re-
environment predicted under globzal warming scenar- productive processes (cf. Barnes and Barnes 1959, Cos-
ios.                           sins and Bowler 1987). Artificially shading barnacles
                             has been shown to alleviate these stresses and result
Constituent effects of the algal calnopy on barnacles  in higher growth rates (Bertness 1989, Bertness and
  The individual effects of the Asc:ophyllum nodosum Gaines 1993). However, the physical structure provided
canopy on barnacles (i.e., recruitmc growth, and fe- by algal canopies also alters patterns of water flow
                   ent,


TABLE4. Results of repeated-measures nested ANOVAs on wave-exposure data.

                        December 1995-May 1996                 June-September 1996
                               Denom-                         Denom-
                               inator                         inator
 Source of variation         df    MS    F   MS      P      df      MS     F   MS         P
Region                 1  58.83    1.40  a    0.359      1    204.80     0.66    a    0.566
Site(Region)              2  42.14    0.15  b    0.861      1    310.08     1.81    b    0.203
Instrument(Site)           16  278.67                    12    171.36
Time                  3    6.66
                      121.13    c    0.001          5    2267.87
                                                38.24  c  <0.001
Time X Region             3    1.23
                      224.98    d    0.379          5    984.25
                                                 8.57  d   0.017
Time X Site(Region)          6    10.10
                      183.57    c   <0.001           5   1.65
                                                  114.90c   0.218
Time x Instrument(Site)        48  18.18                    60     69.77
 Notes: Analyses were done separately for the period December 1995-May 1996 and June 1996-September 1996 because
instruments were vandalized at Pemaquid (Maine, USA) during the summer of 1996, and data could not be collected there.
The dependent variable was maximum force (in newtons) calculated from the spring-loaded dynamometers. The denominator
MS for the F ratios were: a = Site(Region), b = Instrument(Site), c = Time x Instrument(Site), d = Time X Site(Region).
April 2000                VARIATION IN SPECIES INTERACTIONS                          1025

              ---   South:Cleared        to feed on Semibalanus balanoides (Menge 1983). Any
                 - South: Canopy        direct reduction in mortality under the canopy because
             -D-   North:Cleared        of lower thermal stress at northern sites was apparently
             --*   North:Canopy         offset by an indirect increase in mortality from pred-
                                ators mediated by the canopy (Menge 1978, Minchin-
   40-1995
                                ton and Scheibling 1993).
                                  Counter to my original hypothesis, results for the
   35 -
                                adults were similar to those of the recruits for both
   35-c,,
   30-v                            years. Adults, like recruits, were sensitive to the ex-
                                perimental removal of the canopy and to the ensuing
   25 -                            changes in environmental conditions and predator
       -L

                                abundance. The similarity in response of recruits and
o
   20-
                                adults to canopy manipulation suggests recruits in these
a
                                habitats are unlikely to escape thermal conditions over
   15                             time by growing in size (Foster 1971).
E                                  Abiotic conditions associated with variation in
H      1996                                  barnacle survival
   40-
                                  Variation in survival rates was not associated with
E                                differences in wave exposure (Fig. 8) but may have
   35-
ct

   30-                                     8
                                           1995: N vs. S
   25-

   20-                                     ,n           iaA
                                                   INA
          Jun  Jul    Aug    Sep   Oct
                                                   V'   ri
                                             I   I    I   I     I
  FIG. 9. Thermal characteristics at northern and southern
sites collected during the summers of 1995 and 1996 with
min/max thermometers. Values are the maximum temperature               1996: N vs. S
(mean + 1 SE) recorded during each preceding interval. In
1995, data were collected in cleared plots and under the can-     a)
opy (n = 2 plots per treatment per site). In 1996, data were
collected less frequently and only in cleared plots but with           0
                                             ...   tA
higher replication within sites (n = 8 plots per site).        H
                                      ~
                                      -8    ,*~?wrN     vv      IVV
                                    E
(Eckman et al. 1989) and can modify feeding behavior             -8
                                              I   I    I   I     I
by interfering with deployment of the feeding structure
(Palmer et al. 1982). In my study, positive effects of         CI- 8
the algal canopy on organism growth (through allevi-                 S: 1995 vs. 1996
ation of physiological   stress) were apparently out-
weighed by negative effects on food acquisition.
  In contrast to these negative effects, the algal canopy            0
had a large positive impact on organism survival, but
this was evident only at the southern sites. In both
years, barnacle survival in Rhode Island was highest
                                       -8
                                             ,A^AI
under the canopy, intermediate in cleared plots, and                  Apr May Jun
                                           Apr May Jun      Jul Aug Sep
                                                       Jul Aug Sep
lowest in the zone above the algal canopy. Gastropod
predators were rare at these sites and mortality rates       FIG. 10. Temperature anomalies (deviations in ?C) be-
were consistent with those `expected from variation in     tween weather stations located near the open coast in the north
thermal stress alone. This contrasts sharply with north-    (Maine) and south (Rhode Island). Data are 7-d running av-
                                erages of the differences in daily maximum air temperature
ern sites, where survival was generally similar under      collected from 1 April through 1 October. Top panel: Dif-
the canopy and in cleared plots but was always highest     ference between northern and southern sites during 1995.
above the algal zone. The abundance of the carnivorous     Middle panel: Similar comparison for 1996. Bottom panel:
                                Difference between 1995 and 1996 at the southern sites. Neg-
gastropod Nucella    lapillus at these northern sites was  ative differences (in the middle and top panels) indicate that
high under the canopy, intermediate in cleared plots,      the north was cooler than the south. Positive differences (in
and low at higher tidal heights. These predators often     the bottom panel) indicate that 1995 was warmer than 1996.
seek refuge under the algal canopy and are well known      Summary statistics are shown in Table 6.
1026                      GEORGE H. LEONARD                  Ecology, Vol. 81, No. 4

TABLE 5. Results of repeated-measures nested ANOVAs on substrate temperature (?C) as a function of region, site, canopy,
 and time.

                                              Denominator
      Source of variation           df      MS       F      MS         P
Summer 1995
 Region                       1       0.48      0.01      a        0.935
 Site(Region)                    2      56.50      2.76      b        0.123
Canopy                       1     1935.55     324.30      c        0.003
Canopy x Region                   1       0.54      0.09      c        0.793
Canopy X Site(Region)                2       5.97      0.29      b        0.755
Thermometer(Canopy x Site)             8      20.47
Time                        10      92.64     20.47      d       <0.001
Time X Region                   10      60.50     11.05      e       <0.001
Time x Site(Region)                20       5.47      1.21      d        0.326
Time x Canopy                   10       6.27      1.34      f        0.277
Time X Canopy x Region               10       3.28      0.70      g        0.715
Time x Canopy X Site(Region)            20       4.69      1.04      d        0.430
Time X Thermometer(Canopy X Site)         80       4.53
Summer 1996
 Region                       1      119.31      9.12      a        0.094
 Site(Region)                    2      13.09      0.58      h        0.566
Thermometer(Site)                 28      22.52                     <0.001
Time                        6      69.36     23.22      i        0.019
Time X Region                    6      43.21      4.02      e        0.001
Time x Site(Region)                12      10.76      3.60      i
Time X Thermometer(Site)             168       2.99
 Notes: The dependent variable was maximum temperature of the rock substrate over 2-wk periods during the summers of
1995 and 1996. In 1996 the canopy treatment was eliminated, and within-site replication was increased from 2 to 8 ther-
mometers/site. Denominator MS for the F ratio were: a = Site(Region), b = Thermometer(Canopy x Site), c = Canopy X
Site(Region), d = Time X Thermometer(Canopy X Site), e = Time x Site(Region), f = Canopy x Site(Region), g = Time
x Canopy X Site(Region), h = Thermometer(Site), and i = Time x Thermometer(Site).


been related to subtle differences in climatic conditions   air and rock temperatures at southern sites commonly
in 1995 and 1996 in the absence of predators. Weather-     approached the thermal limits of Semibalanus balan-
station data from Rhode Island and Maine indicated       oides (i.e., 40?C; Southward 1958, Foster 1969, 1971),
that 1995 was a warmer summer than 1996 (Fig. 10),       further suggesting a causal link between yearly vari-
in agreement with global climate data showing 1995       ation in thermal stress and variation in species inter-
was the warmest year since 1900 (Easterling et al.       actions.
1997). The correspondence between my experimental         These conclusions, however, should be taken cau-
results and these yearly climatic conditions suggests     tiously because the direct measures of rock temperature
that these species interactions may be sensitive to sub-    did not closely match the indirect measures of local
tle overall differences in temperature in regions where    conditions made using weather-station data. For ex-
the influence of predators is minimal. Differences in     ample, weather-station data indicated that Maine was
air temperature of only a few degrees have also been      cooler than Rhode Island during June-July in 1996 but
hypothesized by Wethey (1983) to affect the distribu-     direct measurements of substrate temperature showed
tion and abundance of intertidal organisms. Although      no difference among the regions at this time. This may
tissue temperatures were not measured, both maximum      partly be because overall weather patterns may not ac-
                                curately predict physical conditions at specific study
TABLE6. Summary statistics of daily temperature anomalies   sites (see Helmuth 1998, 1999) as well as due to dif-
 (difference between Maine and Rhode Island) in maximum    ferences in sampling frequency between thermometers
 temperature collected at weather stations near the study   and weather-station data.
 sites duringthe summersof 1995 and 1996.            Differences in instrument replication also make com-
       Statistic         1995    1996    parisons among years difficult. For example, during
                                1995 when species interactions varied between regions,
Negative anomalies (%)         70     65
Mean daily temperature diff. (?C)   -2.40    -1.69    low thermometer replication and low statistical power
1 SD of mean daily temp. diff. (?C)   4.29    4.15   made it difficult to detect differences in substrate tem-
1 SE of mean daily temp. diff. (?C)   0.32    0.31
                         -10.30
                                perature between northern and southern sites. Average
Minimum daily difference (?C)     -15.11
Maximum daily difference (?C)      7.83    8.54   differences in temperature of only 1-3?C, however, may
n                   183     183     be biologically important but difficult to detect using
 Note: Fig. 10 (top and middle panels) graphically presents  min/max thermometers. Instead of thermometers,
the 7-d running average of the original 183 daily anomalies.  Leonard et al. (1999) used computer-controlled therm-
April 2000              VARIATIONIN SPECIESINTERACTIONS                         1027


istors to readily detect differences in substrate tem-    predators in a region of reduced temperatures). My
perature <2.5?C among New England intertidal habi-      results support the hypothesis that small differences in
tats that had significant effects on the mortality of Sem-  physical factors can be important in governing species
ibalanus balanoides. Although expensive, these therm-    interactions over 100s of kilometers and that the com-
istors may be the best means to detect subtle differences  bination of direct and indirect effects that vary across
in physical conditions among sites. In lieu of these     the life history determine the magnitude and direction
instruments, weather-station data may be useful in re-    of overall species interactions. Long-term experiments
lating experimental results to broad-scale climatic con-   at a series of sites along the New England coastline
ditions (Hargrove and Pickering 1992).            (which would increase statistical power) will be nec-
  Finally, it should be noted that my study was done    essary to evaluate the validity and generality of these
at only two sites in each region over two years. This    conclusions.
experimental design resulted in low statistical power
to detect differences among regions and cautions that     The changing nature of species interactions during
my findings may not apply generally to all New Eng-            global climate change
land intertidal habitats. Despite these limitations, my     Few scientists question that humans have signifi-
data are the first to document the previously inferred    cantly altered global carbon and nitrogen cycles and
difference in physical conditions across the Cape Cod    have had profound effects on climate (Vitousek et al.
peninsula that has been argued to be important in the    1997). Greenhouse gases are expected to increase at
distribution and ecology of rocky-shore organisms      least into the 21st Century, resulting in a 1.5-4.5?C
(Wethey 1983).                        warming trend and an increase in the temporal and
Direct and indirect interactions and the net effect on    spatial variability of many aspects of the global climate
                               (Gates 1993). Temperature-sensitive species and those
           organism fitness            with whom they interact are likely to be influenced by
  Although examples of positive interactions are be-    these changing conditions.
coming increasingly common in the literature (e. g.,      As climate continues to warm, algal canopies in the
Carlsson and Callaghan 1991, Bertness and Shumway      high intertidal zone of sites in southern New England
1993, Agular and Sala 1994, Berkowitz et al. 1995,      may buffer species from local changes in distribution.
Callaway 1995), few studies have taken a demographic     The upper limit of barnacles may largely be set by the
approach to evaluate the nature of species interactions.   presence of algal canopies in the future, while in areas
For example, although Carlsson and Callaghan (1991)     without canopies the vertical limit may be much lower.
showed that a sedge growing with a shrub in the Arctic     Species persistence at sites to the north is harder to
tundra had a higher growth rate than when growing      predict because of the indirect effect of the canopy on
alone, there was no attempt to determine effects of the   barnacle predators. As in the south, barnacles may
shrub on seed supply, germination success, or mortal-    come to rely on the buffering capacity of these common
ity, all of which directly contribute to fitness. Inte-   species of algae, especially if the predators shift their
grating these effects as "lxmx" (survival probability X   distribution more than that of the barnacles. Alterna-
reproductive output) is critical in determining if a net   tively, as climate warms, the refuge from predators
interaction is positive or negative.             above the algal canopy at northern sites (Menge 1976)
  In my study, integrating component parts revealed     may vanish and predator-prey interactions under the
that the overall interaction between the algal canopy    canopy may intensify. This could result in local ex-
and barnacles switched from negative to positive be-     tinction of either predator, prey, or both. The outcome
tween regions to the north and south of Cape Cod.      will depend on the relative susceptibility of predator
Moreover, this interaction differed between the two     and prey to regional changes in climate (Menge and
years of the study. Because of an overwhelmingly large    Olson 1990) and their interactions with organisms that
direct effect on survival in 1995 at the southern sites,   can modify the local conditions. Variable species in-
the algal canopy facilitated the reproductive fitness po-  teractions, such as those documented here, are likely
tential of barnacle recruits there. On the other hand,    to be evident in other habitats as well, where a single
the net interaction with the canopy was consistently     species or suite of species strongly moderates physical
negative at northern sites, evidently due to canopy-     conditions. Further work in these and other habitats
mediated indirect effects on predation pressure com-     would contribute substantially to our understanding of
bined with lower reproductive output under the canopy.    how ecological and evolutionary dynamics in natural
In 1996, when the canopy-mediated effect on survival     communities might change over the next century.
was weaker at southern sites, fitness did not vary be-
                                         ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
tween regions.
  From these data, I conclude that net species inter-     I am indebted to M. Baker, M. Bertness, S. Brewer, J. Eddy,
                               A. Ingraham, T. Leonard, J. Levine, and P. Schmidt, all of
actions switched from positive at southern sites (be-    whom helped in the field during less-than-ideal conditions.
cause of few predators and elevated temperatures) to     T. Miller and K. Eckelbarger of the University of Maine fa-
negative at northern sites (because of a suite of boreal   cilitated my stays at the Darling Marine Center and the U.
1028                        GEORGE H. LEONARD                   Ecology, Vol. 81, No. 4

S. Fish and Wildlife Service kindly provided access to the     Connell, J. H. 1961. The influence of interspecific compe-
Middletown site at the Sachuest Point National Wildlife Ref-     tition and other factors on the distribution of the barnacle
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